Is our population declining?
Our population IS in decline and the evidence is everywhere. In the United States people are imported from other countries to work at job which cannot be filled. These jobs are both low paying and high paying jobs. A good example is the medical profession. People are finally beginning to discover the reason. Evidence the follow commentary concerning a front page story published in the Detroit News on November 19th concerning the the nationwide shortage of nurses in the United States:
" A recent
Detroit News article discussed the nationwide shortage of about 100,000
nurses, which is expected to reach 300,000 - 600,000 by the year 2020.
Letters to the editor discussed many possible explanations for the shortage,
but I couldn't help wondering how much of it is due to the 40 million babies
we've aborted since 1973. I can't even imagine what the state of health
care is going to be like by then, not to mention the military, Social Security,
and every other aspect of national life, if we don't stop killing children.
That's if the Lord hasn't returned by then, which could happen, though
I believe it's highly unlikely the Lord will return before judging us for
our national sins. "
Chris A. Coatney 11-26-2001
How abortion, infanticide & euthanasia will affect the world population through 2050 :
Global Depopulation – A Reality?
from Life Issues Connector, January, 1998)
By J. C. Willke, MD
A November New York Times article said, "Unlike dips in population
growth throughout history, this slide, which began in the ‘60s, was
not caused by a natural or economic disaster or war or a plague.
There’s no Black Death to blame, no World War I, no Great
Depression. This decline is widespread; it is steady, and the current
decline shows no signs of reversing as earlier ones have."
Overpopulation is certainly the major reason for the Western nations
and the United Nations pushing for abortion in underdeveloped lands.
But is this still a valid claim (if it ever was)? Most well informed
people know that, across the Western World, birthrates have dropped
below replacement level. A recent HLI Bulletin gave us some
35 nations are dying in both Eastern and Western Europe. Fifteen
European countries now fill more coffins than cradles. Only two
countries are above replacement birth rates – little Malta with 2.4
children per completed family and isolated Muslim Albania with 2.8.
The average married European woman now has 1.35 children in her
lifetime. Italy’s birthrate of 1.2 is the lowest in the Western World.
The New York Times said in November that, in Italy, government
officials expect "empty classrooms and thousands of unemployed
teachers, with shortages of service industry workers and health care
personnel to care for older people."
Spain is close behind Italy, while European Russia, at 1.1, has the
lowest overall birth rate in the world. Last year its death rate was
70% higher than its birth rate.
Europe’s de-population bomb, in both the East and West, is fast
producing a huge demographic vacuum into which are moving
millions of Muslims and Arabs who have large families.
Some 5 million Muslims now live in dying France. In Germany,
Muslims have built some 1,500 mosques. Brussels, the capital of
Belgium, has entire classrooms of children without a single
Caucasian child in them.
By the year 2000, for the first time in history, there will be more
Muslims in the world than Catholics. This, thanks to contraception,
sterilization, surgical abortion and abortifacient drugs. Meanwhile the
threat of legalized euthanasia hangs over the Western World like a
hungry vulture. This may well be the social "solution" for large
numbers of elderly people needing to be cared for by a dwindling
Japan & China
Japan, with fewer than 1.4 children per family, is one of the fastest
aging nations in the world. Whole villages have no one left but elderly
folks. A September New York Times article reported that, because of
the shortage of young wage earners, Japan’s rate of savings will be
zero or even negative by the year 2010. By 2025, 73% of Japan’s
income will be going for social welfare, largely for health care and
pensions for the elderly.
Of course, the Chinese are the worst off. For 15 years, the Red
Regime has forcibly inserted abortifacient IUD’s into mothers after the
birth of their first child. After two children, the State forcibly sterilizes
them. Mothers, pregnant without the permission of the Communist
Party, are subjected to forced abortions. It has been 15 years of a
one child per family policy, resulting in mostly boys. In a few years,
there will be social turbulence and violence when tens of millions of
young men cannot find wives.
Underdeveloped Nations Also
The birth dearth has spread well beyond the developed world.
Twenty-seven developing countries now have fewer than 2.2 children
per woman, which means they are not reproducing their own
numbers. In 1985, the world’s total fertility rate – the number of
children born per woman in her reproductive lifetime – was 4.2. Now,
worldwide, it’s 2.9 and dropping.
Today 79 countries are dying because of birth rates below
replacement level. These countries are home to 40% of the world’s
population. By the year 2015, an estimated two-thirds of all the
people on earth will live in countries with birth rates at or below
replacement level, which is 2.1 babies per woman.
The Wall Street Journal in February of 1997 said, "Villages left will be
bereft of children, and schools will be closed for lack of students. If
the human face of this population implosion is melancholy, do
understand the economic consequences are nothing short of grim.
Labor shortages will cramp production. Housing markets will grow
moribund. This in turn will create a drag on real estate and other
sectors of the countries."
Assuming that we will have a shrinking population, but with the
decline much more rapid in the West than in the South, we will see a
global redistribution of world population. At the present time, the ratio
of population is approximately 4 in the underdeveloped nations to 1 in
those more developed. But if these projections continue, by the year
2050, the ratio will be 7 to 1. For example, as of today, the ratio of
the population of Europe, compared to Africa, is about 1 to 1. But in
another 50 years, there will be three Africans for every one European.
An Aging Population
Aging will be another impact of de-population. In 1900, the median
age of the world’s population was around 20 years. Today it’s about
25. But with the continuing drastic reduction in birth rates, the aging
population will raise the median age to 40 years by 2050.
In some countries, it will be much worse. In Japan, the median age
will be 53, Germany 55 and Italy 58 – and there won’t be many
children. Another way of looking at it is, if these population trends
continue, in another 50 years there will be three times as many old
people as young children in the lesser developed nations, but in the
West the ratio will be 8 to 1. To take the most extreme example, if
Italy’s reproductive rate stays at 1.2 (you need 2.1 to replace), by the
year 2050 only 2% of Italians will be under five years of age, but 40%
will be over 65.
Is There Documentation?
This is the obvious question. Are the above figures just predictions by
a few, or can these be substantiated? In support, there is now a
major, well-documented report by Nicholas Eberstadt, a researcher
with the American Enterprise Institute and the Harvard Center. In a
major October 16, 1997 Wall Street Journal analysis, he reported on
the October General Population Conference in Beijing. The
Conference was to focus on the threat of over-population. However,
the meeting began with a presentation by some of the world’s best
demographers offering a dramatic reassessment of the world’s
demographic future. They are now seriously considering the
possibility that the world’s population will peak in our lifetime and
then commence an indefinite decline.
He also details this de-population scenario, set out most recently by
the United Nations Population Division’s 1996 revision of its biannual
compendium, World Population Prospects, as the oldest, largest and
most intensive of various contemporary attempts to outline likely
future demographic trends.
Let’s look at what these authoritative numbers are telling us. Recall
again that in an underdeveloped country, the average woman must
have 2.2 babies in her lifetime in order to maintain a stable
population. In a developed nation it’s 2.1
By the UN estimate, total fertility rates in developed regions have
fallen in the last six years from 1.7 to 1.5 babies per woman. Clearly,
developed nations are dying. It estimates that this will drop farther in
the next decade to about 1.4. This means there will then be 3 people
dying for every 2 babies being born in the Western World.
There’s a middle group called Less Developed Nations. Their rate had
averaged about 3.3 in the early ‘90s. It’s projected to drop to about
2.0 in 20 years and to 1.6 by the middle of the next century.
The third grouping are the Least Developed Countries. Their total
fertility rate a decade ago had been about 5.0. This is expected to
drop below 4 by 2010, below 3 by 2020 and below replacement level
Remember, these are United Nations statistics. This means that, if
these trends continue as predicted, there will be global de-population,
beginning in a little over 40 years. The UN estimates predict that the
actual population of the world between 2040 and 2050 will drop by
almost 100 million. From then on, world population will shrink by
roughly 25% with each successive generation.
So why does the Clinton-Gore administration and the European
Union keep dwelling on overpopulation? They certainly have access
to these statistics. The answer is almost certainly what was clearly
laid out in the October issue of The Connector. It’s most likely that
the primary reason is the quest for power. If the West is to have
global control over the underdeveloped South, it must reduce
population in the South or lose worldwide dominance.
The West has reduced its own population with contraception,
abortifacients, sterilization and abortion. Now, through the United
Nations, and with the eager help and aggressive push by the United
States through President Clinton, it continues to massively dump
those practices on the families of the developing world.
What lies ahead? A world full of wheelchairs, increasingly infirm
senior citizens, and escalating demands for medical service and
care? Can fewer and fewer young people take care of more and more
old people? Perhaps the answer will be massive euthanasia.
The bottom line is that we will all get old. Will there be someone to
take care of you, since the State may not be able to? Ben
Wattenburg, one of our most famous and reliable demographers
today, has said it very succinctly. "You want security in your old
age? Then you don’t put dollars into Social Security – you put in
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